Martinicity: Category LiveMike Blaketag:www.martinicity.net,2005:TypoTypo2008-09-23T10:48:53+00:00Mike Blakeurn:uuid:377bb48c-f42a-456c-a5b7-8e47d76214622008-09-23T02:46:00+00:002008-09-23T10:48:53+00:002008 Electoral College Tie<h3>If the election were held today, here’s the result.</h3>
<p>(Analysis of each swing state is below.)</p>
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<h3>Swing States:</h3>
<h4>Colorado</h4>
<p><span style="color:blue;">Barely Obama’s, and historically Republican, but holding the Democratic convention here turned out to be brilliant. McCain didn’t even get it back during the <span class="caps">GOP</span> convention, so I think Obama wins Colorado.</span></p>
<h4>Ohio</h4>
<p><span style="color:red;">McCain’s most brilliant move is the Sarah Palin pick. The Hockey Mom with the folksy accent wins over the suburban Ohio family and keeps Ohio a red state.</span></p>
<h4>Pennsylvania</h4>
<p><span style="color:blue;">Democrat in the last four elections, and should stay that way since McCain couldn’t manage to take the lead here even during the post convention bounce.</span></p>
<h4>Florida</h4>
<p><span style="color:red;">No need for Katherine Harris’s votes this time. McCain has a good lead and should keep the Republican trend.</span></p>
<h4>Nevada</h4>
<p><span style="color:red;">Another Republican state, and McCain is hanging on tough here, although a bit closer than Florida, it will likely stay red.</span></p>
<h4>New Hampshire</h4>
<p><span style="color:red;">For every other swing state, I’m predicting a win for the candidate with a slight lead in the polls,</span>
<span style="color:blue;">and backing it up with historical precedence in that state. That strategy leaves New Hampshire open.</span>
<span style="color:red;">Since McCain fared better here in the primaries than Obama did, and he has a slight lead today in this <a href="http://www.boston.com/news/local/new_hampshire/articles/2008/09/22/poll_mccain_has_slight_lead_in_nh/">University of New Hampshire poll</a> , I gave it to him. Plus that leaves us with the fascinating result of an <a href="http://www.270towin.com/blog/electoral-college/what-happens-if-there-is-a-tie-in-the-electoral-college">Electoral College tie</a>.</span></p>
<h4>Virginia</h4>
<p><span style="color:red;">Although Virgina was tied for a while, McCain seems to be pulling away. And Republican margins of victory in prior elections have been quite large.</span></p>
<h4>Wisconsin</h4>
<p><span style="color:blue;">If you border more than one Great Lake, you’re an Obama state. Even taking advantage of <a href="http://wwwwakeupamericans-spree.blogspot.com/2008/08/new-john-mccain-ad-features-democratic.html">delegate strippers</a> won’t change that.</span></p>Mike Blakeurn:uuid:064921bd-74b8-4436-bc35-4b48c5964e842008-04-23T21:10:00+00:002008-04-24T12:37:37+00:00Johnny B Good Fun-Raiser<h2>
<a href='http://johnnybgfunraiser.googlepages.com'><img src='http://martinicity.net/files/johhny.jpg'></img>
<br />
Raffle Tickets
</a>
</h2>
<h3>
Please click above to support the rehabilitation of John “Chip” Cusack.</h3>
<p><br/>
Last week I played four golf courses in Orlando with four of the Cusack brothers. But there was one Cusack brother missing. From the Raffle flyer:
</p>
> Last September, John was taking a bike ride in his Northport neighborhood with his son when he fell off his bike and suffered a severe head trauma. He was airlifted to Stonybrook Hospital, had emergency brain surgery and began the long, painful process back.
<p>You can follow John’s progress here:</p>
<p>And if you’d like to help out with a donation or a journal ad : <a href="http://johnnybgfunraiser.googlepages.com/">johnnybgfunraiser.googlepages.com</a></p>
<p>Thanks for your support,</p>
<p>Mike Blake</p>Mike Blakeurn:uuid:a28f4e80-34c7-41c5-9300-f6713c7b3ed82007-12-13T17:54:00+00:002008-06-16T23:06:52+00:00 Thoughts about my friends Brian Maguire and John Cusack<p>In a freak accident back in September my friend John Cusack fell off a bicycle in Northport, NY and suffered a serious head injury. It’s been a very painful year for the Cusack family and friends. Obviously it saddened me deeply to learn that Brian Maguire suffered a similar injury.</p>
<p>Brian crashed on his motorcycle last Sunday night. Updates are available on <a href='http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/entertainment_music_blog/2007/12/two-new-brian-m.html'>Jim Abbott’s blog</a> at The Orlando Sentinel, and There’s a <a href='http://profile.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=user.viewprofile&friendid=324700870'>Brian Maguire Relief Fund</a>.</p>
<p>In John’s case, the waking up process was very gradual. After about a week in an induced coma similar to Brian’s, John began to show signs of life. The first sign of a functioning brain was the ability to blink when asked to blink. Slowly, day after day, there were subtle improvements. Response to stimuli, Open eyes tracking movement . At some point John was moved from a ventilator to a trachea. Then there was recognition of friends and family. Eventually there was movement of limbs and talking, (although talking is nearly impossible with the trachea.) . Now after a cranioplasty to restore his skull, John is scheduled to be moved to a Rehabilitation Center today where he will relearn basic muscle movements, and hopefully walk again.</p>
<p>The Cuscacks have set up a site here if you’d like to learn more. <a href='http://www.caringbridge.org/visit/johncusack'>John Cusack</a> .</p>
<p>With a brain injury, there is always hope. I pray that good news continues to break for both John and Brian, and however long it takes, I hope I can spend time with them again in this world.</p>
<p><a href='http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/391830/24186024'>.</a></p>Mike Blakeurn:uuid:99bf4403-a144-4fed-bd62-11b28f74198a2007-09-21T14:57:00+00:002007-09-21T14:59:28+00:00The Corrigan Reunion<p>My family and I had a great weekend at the end of August in Cleveland Ohio. My Mom’s side of the family , The Corrigans, had a reunion at the <a href="http://www.clemetparks.com/visit/index.asp?action=rdetails&reservations_id=1002">North Chagrin Nature Center</a> in Lake County, OH. This was the first time all seven of us have been together in about five years.</p>
<p>The Blakes are, from left to right, Conny, Brian, Michael, Richard, John, Paul, and Maureen.</p>Mike Blakeurn:uuid:ea2afe7b-e29c-47fe-8517-e6d765e310b02007-07-10T14:47:00+00:002007-07-10T15:21:25+00:00Quoc Van for Congress<p>Quoc Van came to my house a few weeks ago. He’s an extremely bright guy, and is running for congress in the <a href="http://www.govtrack.us/congress/findyourreps.xpd?state=FL&district=8">8th Congressional District</a> here in Florida. I’m not kidding you, I got the sense that I had just met the next Barack Obama.</p>
<p>!<a href="/files/qv.png">Quoc Van</a> !<a href="/files/obama.jpg">Barack Obama</a></p>
<p>Quoc needs signatures from 1% of registered voter’s here in the 8th district in order to appear on the ballot for the Democratic primary. I admire Quoc’s <a href="http://www.campaignsitebuilder.com/templates/displayfiles/tmpl26.asp?SiteID=1469&PageID=26776&Trial=false">grass roots effort </a>so I was happy to sign.</p>
<ol>
<li>How can I help out?</li>
</ol>
<p>The immediate goal is getting Quoc on the ballot. You can help out in three easy steps (if you live in <a href="http://www.govtrack.us/congress/findyourreps.xpd?state=FL&district=8">Florida’s 8th congressional district</a>):</p>
<p>1. Print out this <a href="http://campaignsitebuilder.com/user/VanForCongressgmailcom/download/DSDE104.pdf">petition</a>.</p>
<p>2. Fill it out.
b. Check major candidate and put in “Democratic party” on line 3 <br/>
c. Put in “U.S. House of Representative in the 8th congressional district of Florida on line four<br/>
d. Fill in your information in the boxes.<p/></p>
<pre><code>a. Put in "Quoc Van" on line 2 where it says name. <br/></code></pre>
<p>3. Mail the form to:</p>
<pre><code>Quoc Van<br/>
1110 Butler Way<br/>
Sanford, Fl 32773</code></pre>
<p>For more information on Quoc Van visit <a href="http://vanforcongress.com/">vanforcongress.com</a>.</p>Mike Blakeurn:uuid:831ba3576f5d5843f13a90471764b7a02006-03-28T16:12:00+00:002007-02-20T13:05:41+00:00Rebirth Brass Band<p>We don’t get near as many visits from top notch musicians here in Orlando as they do in the big city, so I’m excited about this weekend.</p>
<p>is playing here in O-Town at <a href="http://www.thesocial.org/">The Social</a>
this Saturday , April 1st at 9:00 PM.</p>
<p>I saw these guys the first time during my <a href="http://www.martinicity.net/pics/NewOrleans/index.html">drive accross country</a>.</p>
<p>!<a href="/pics/NewOrleans/brassBand.JPG">Rebirth Brass Band</a></p>
<p><br>
It will be a fun night, and a great excuse to wear my <a href="http://www.afunkyshoeandboot.com/Mensfootwear/BlkWWingtips.htm">black and white wingtips</a>
.
Stop by the house before the show for some barb-q.</p>